Open Text Corp Stock Performance

OTEX Stock  USD 22.79  0.72  3.06%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.05, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Open Text returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Open Text is expected to follow. At this point, Open Text Corp has a negative expected return of -0.67%. Please make sure to check Open Text's coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Open Text Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Open Text Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.06)
Five Day Return
(13.38)
Year To Date Return
(28.20)
Ten Year Return
0.75
All Time Return
728.73
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0472
Payout Ratio
0.271
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.08
Dividend Date
2025-12-19
1
Intuit Becomes Founding Partner of LA28 Olympic Paralympic Games
11/24/2025
 
Open Text dividend paid on 19th of December 2025
12/19/2025
3
Blackbaud Up 12.5 percent in a Month How to Approach the Stock Now
12/24/2025
4
Open Text Becomes Oversold - Nasdaq
01/02/2026
5
OpenText Completes Divestiture of Non-Core Unit for 163 Million
01/12/2026
6
Heres Why We Think Open Text Is Well Worth Watching
01/15/2026
7
Assessing Open Text Valuation As New CEO Ayman Antoun Prepares To Take Charge
01/30/2026
8
Rocket Software to Acquire Vertica Analytics Database Platform from OpenText
02/02/2026
9
Open Text Q2 2026 Earnings Preview
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-153.5 M

Open Text Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,447  in Open Text Corp on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,168) from holding Open Text Corp or give up 33.88% of portfolio value over 90 days. Open Text Corp is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.7259% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Open, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Open Text is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.26 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.39 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Open Text Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Open Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.79 90 days 22.79 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Open Text to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Open Text Corp probability density function shows the probability of Open Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This indicates Open Text Corp market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Open Text is expected to follow. Additionally Open Text Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Open Text Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Open Text

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Open Text Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Open Text's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0722.7924.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.3717.0925.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.4521.1622.88
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.2338.7242.98
Details

Open Text Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Open Text is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Open Text's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Open Text Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Open Text within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.8
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.05
σ
Overall volatility
3.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.43

Open Text Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Open Text for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Open Text Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Open Text Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of December 2025 Open Text paid $ 0.275 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Open Text Q2 2026 Earnings Preview

Open Text Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Open Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Open Text's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Open Text's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding263.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Open Text Fundamentals Growth

Open Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Open Text, and Open Text fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Open Stock performance.

About Open Text Performance

Evaluating Open Text's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Open Text has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Open Text has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 1.73  1.54 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.11 

Things to note about Open Text Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Open Text for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Open Text Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Open Text Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of December 2025 Open Text paid $ 0.275 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Open Text Q2 2026 Earnings Preview
Evaluating Open Text's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Open Text's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Open Text's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Open Text's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Open Text's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Open Text's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Open Text's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Open Text's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Open Text's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Open Text's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Open Text's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Open Stock Analysis

When running Open Text's price analysis, check to measure Open Text's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Open Text is operating at the current time. Most of Open Text's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Open Text's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Open Text's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Open Text to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.